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2024-12-13 05:43:55

Yesterday, the market opened higher and went lower, and the shape looked very poor. Many friends today estimated that they were prepared to continue the downward adjustment, but in fact, the market was still relatively stable today. Although the increase was not large, there was no sharp diving in the plate, as if it were held by a hand. Yes, it is really held up now, because it is now in a state of high control, so everyone has seen the recent trend. Excluding yesterday, it is still relatively stable. How many investors expect the market to fall down and get on the bus, but it just won't come down. The 3150 gap below is counted this week, and it has not been replenished for 11 weeks. It cannot be said that the market is not strong. So can the market continue to rise tomorrow? Let's make a detailed analysis and give you a reference.Federal Reserve's December OutlookIf we can continue to cut interest rates in December, it will undoubtedly be a big plus for A shares, and the pressure on the exchange rate will be further reduced, which may become a turning point in the short term.


This afternoon, the Government of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region welcomed the passage of the Stamp Duty Legislation (Miscellaneous Amendments) Bill 2024 by the Legislative Council, which exempted the transfer of shares or units of real estate investment trusts and the securities distribution business of option makers, and revised the stamp duty collection arrangements under the paperless securities market system in Hong Kong.The previous wave of adjustment of the Hang Seng Index was to step back on the long-term trend line at the daily level, which gained support and rebounded recently. Today, it closed above the offensive line, and the long-term trend at the daily level remains intact. On the monthly level, it fell below the offensive line last month, but it is above the offensive line at present, and it closed above 19,738 points this month. The problem is not big, and the long-term trend remains intact, and there is a basis for further strength.If we can continue to cut interest rates in December, it will undoubtedly be a big plus for A shares, and the pressure on the exchange rate will be further reduced, which may become a turning point in the short term.


A shares: the latest release of Shanghai Stock Exchange! Incremental funds are coming, and it is likely to continue to rise on Thursday!At present, the market has also reached a very critical stage. If the large-cap stocks of heavyweights don't make efforts to push the index to a higher level, the short-term risk is relatively large in terms of the current position of CSI 2000 and micro-cap stocks. For example, the CSI 2000 index closed at 2635.58 today, and the high point in January 2022 was 2700.24, which is very close. It has not crossed this high point for more than two years, which shows that the pressure here is very great. If the market does not continue to launch upward, then it is impossible to complete an effective breakthrough by relying on small-cap stocks themselves, and it is impossible to get out of the independent market. Once the platform is effectively established, a larger level of space will be opened, and small-cap stocks will hopefully step out of a larger level of market. Otherwise, this wave of sharp rebound may stop here.A shares: the latest release of Shanghai Stock Exchange! Incremental funds are coming, and it is likely to continue to rise on Thursday!

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